Notre Dame has a really good offensive line, an excellent group of tight ends, two good running backs and a solid receiving corps. If Alabama gets to 45, all you need out of Notre Dame is 21. Notre Dame-Northwestern Betting Odds. Spread: Notre Dame -10.5; Over/Under: 53; Time: 7:15 p.m. ET; TV: ESPN; Before the season, Notre Dame's trip to Northwestern didn't seem like one of its toughest tests on a schedule filled with land mines. Northwestern Total Pick. 4 Notre Dame take its offense on the road and pick up a high total when it faces Northwestern on Saturday at 7:15PM ET? Game Snapshot & Odds. 355 Notre Dame at 356 Northwestern. Saturday, November 3, 2018. 7:15PM ET – Ryan Field.
On Saturday, the #4 ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish head to Evanston, Illinois, to take on the scrappy Northwestern Wildcats. Notre Dame is looking to keep their undefeated season going and position themselves for a CFP spot at the end of the year. Northwestern is hoping to pull off the huge upset, while still fighting to win the Big Ten West Division. Kickoff inside Ryan Field is at 7:15 PM ET.
For those looking to jump straight into the betting action, here are the top sites we recommend:
Notre Dame vs Northwestern Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Betting Data | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Northwestern Wildcats |
---|---|---|
Current S/U record | 8-0 | 5-3 |
2018 Home | 5-0 | 2-3 |
2018 Away | 3-0 | 3-0 |
2018 ATS | 4-4 | 4-4 |
2018 ATS Home | 2-3 | 2-3 |
2018 ATS Away | 2-1 | 2-1 |
2018 O/U | 4-4 | 4-4 |
2018 O/U Home | 1-4 | 2-3 |
2018 O/U Away | 3-0 | 2-1 |
Notre Dame vs Northwestern NCAAF Game Preview
Saturday's matchup marks the 49th time these two teams have played against each other. Currently, the Fighting Irish have a commanding lead in the series with an all-time record of 37-9-2. It's been 4 years since they last played against each other and NW won that game 43 to 40. Prior to that, they haven't played one another since 1995, which NW also won.
Notre Dame (8-0) is coming off a dominating 44-22 win over Navy last weekend. The Fighting Irish seemingly imposed their will against Navy all game long. This weekend, Notre Dame will have a tougher challenge against Northwestern, but one they're definitely up for. Can ND improve to 9-0 on the season?
Northwestern (5-3) is coming off an impressive 14 point win over the previously #20 ranked Wisconsin Badgers last weekend. The victory gave the Wildcats a 1.5 game lead in the Big Ten West Division over Wisconsin and Iowa. Northwestern is looking to improve to 6-3 by knocking off ND from their pedestal. Can the Wildcats shock the Fighting Irish on Saturday?
The spread for this game has seen some movement since opening at -8 for Notre Dame. After the initial opening, the majority of online betting sites saw the spread drop down to 7 before slowly climbing back up to 9.5 points in favor of the Fighting Irish. The Over/Under opened at 53.5 total points and remains unchanged with most online sportsbooks.
Free NCAAF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Wildcats +9.5 pts
Let me start off by saying that I believe Notre Dame will win this game. However, I think it's going to be a lot tougher than the near double digit spread that oddsmakers think the Fighting Irish will win by. If you look at Northwestern's resume, you will see some impressive performances. However, you will also see that the Wildcats play to their level of competition. For example, NW loses to Duke and Akron, but defeats Michigan State and Wisconsin.
The Wildcats almost upset the Wolverines in Evanston, as they lost 20-17 after leading for most of the game. They were able to go on the road to upset the previously #20 ranked Michigan State Spartans the very next week. But, they then only beat Nebraska and Rutgers by 3 points each, and those two teams are at the bottom of the Big 10. After that, they host the #20 ranked Wisconsin Badgers and beat them by 14.
So, I expect the Wildcats to play up to their level of competition this weekend and give the Fighting Irish all they can handle. That starts with a solid NW defense. The Wildcats allow 23.6 ppg and 366.8 total ypg. The Fighting Irish allow 341.3 total ypg and 19.1 ppg. As you can see, the Wildcats have a comparable defense to the Fighting Irish and have played 3 ranked teams in that process. Not to mention, they also beat Purdue who gave Ohio State their only loss on the season.
Last weekend NW outrushed the vaunted Wisconsin running game 182 yards to 165 yards. They will need to continue that success this weekend if they want a shot at winning the game. Notre Dame is averaging 188.5 rushing yards per game and the NW defense allows 146 rushing ypg. Furthermore, ND put up 254 rushing yards last weekend against Navy. So, the Wildcats are going to have a tough challenge on their hands this Saturday with ND running back Dexter Williams who's been coming on strong as of late. Last weekend, Williams had 142 rushing yards and 3 TDs.
In the passing game, ND has a huge advantage. And, if they can contain NW's QB Thorson from running for first downs and TD's then I believe ND will win this game handedly. As for NW, they will have to do their best to prevent ND QB Ian Book from throwing the ball all over the field. Fortunately, NW's pass defense is solid as they only allow 220.8 passing ypg.
With all of that said, I'm not confident in the Fighting Irish covering 10 points and here's why: they are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 November games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games between Weeks 10 through 13, 3-6 ATS in their last 9 grass games, and 8-9 ATS when playing teams with a winning record. Although ND is a much better team this year than the last two years, it's hard to have confidence in them covering this spread on the road against a NW team that beat Wisconsin and almost beat Michigan at home.
Furthermore, NW is 16-7 ATS following a Big 10 game, 11-5 ATS following a Big 10 win, 8-2 ATS after winning 2 games or more in a row, 10-5 ATS when playing teams with a winning record, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games during Weeks 10 through 13. NW is also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 overall games.
I don't like the ND moneyline either, despite my confidence in them winning. I believe Ian Book will be the reason ND wins this game as he outduels Clayton Thorson. However, I think that NW will score some garbage time points that cuts ND's lead to under 10 by time it's all said and done. Take NW and the points at home.
Notre Dame vs Northwestern Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Money lines: Fighting Irish (-370) and Wildcats (+310)
- Spread: Notre Dame -9.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 53.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: Notre Dame 35 – Northwestern 27
Notre Dame has a really good offensive line, an excellent group of tight ends, two good running backs and a solid receiving corps. If Alabama gets to 45, all you need out of Notre Dame is 21. Notre Dame-Northwestern Betting Odds. Spread: Notre Dame -10.5; Over/Under: 53; Time: 7:15 p.m. ET; TV: ESPN; Before the season, Notre Dame's trip to Northwestern didn't seem like one of its toughest tests on a schedule filled with land mines. Northwestern Total Pick. 4 Notre Dame take its offense on the road and pick up a high total when it faces Northwestern on Saturday at 7:15PM ET? Game Snapshot & Odds. 355 Notre Dame at 356 Northwestern. Saturday, November 3, 2018. 7:15PM ET – Ryan Field.
On Saturday, the #4 ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish head to Evanston, Illinois, to take on the scrappy Northwestern Wildcats. Notre Dame is looking to keep their undefeated season going and position themselves for a CFP spot at the end of the year. Northwestern is hoping to pull off the huge upset, while still fighting to win the Big Ten West Division. Kickoff inside Ryan Field is at 7:15 PM ET.
For those looking to jump straight into the betting action, here are the top sites we recommend:
Notre Dame vs Northwestern Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Betting Data | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Northwestern Wildcats |
---|---|---|
Current S/U record | 8-0 | 5-3 |
2018 Home | 5-0 | 2-3 |
2018 Away | 3-0 | 3-0 |
2018 ATS | 4-4 | 4-4 |
2018 ATS Home | 2-3 | 2-3 |
2018 ATS Away | 2-1 | 2-1 |
2018 O/U | 4-4 | 4-4 |
2018 O/U Home | 1-4 | 2-3 |
2018 O/U Away | 3-0 | 2-1 |
Notre Dame vs Northwestern NCAAF Game Preview
Saturday's matchup marks the 49th time these two teams have played against each other. Currently, the Fighting Irish have a commanding lead in the series with an all-time record of 37-9-2. It's been 4 years since they last played against each other and NW won that game 43 to 40. Prior to that, they haven't played one another since 1995, which NW also won.
Notre Dame (8-0) is coming off a dominating 44-22 win over Navy last weekend. The Fighting Irish seemingly imposed their will against Navy all game long. This weekend, Notre Dame will have a tougher challenge against Northwestern, but one they're definitely up for. Can ND improve to 9-0 on the season?
Northwestern (5-3) is coming off an impressive 14 point win over the previously #20 ranked Wisconsin Badgers last weekend. The victory gave the Wildcats a 1.5 game lead in the Big Ten West Division over Wisconsin and Iowa. Northwestern is looking to improve to 6-3 by knocking off ND from their pedestal. Can the Wildcats shock the Fighting Irish on Saturday?
The spread for this game has seen some movement since opening at -8 for Notre Dame. After the initial opening, the majority of online betting sites saw the spread drop down to 7 before slowly climbing back up to 9.5 points in favor of the Fighting Irish. The Over/Under opened at 53.5 total points and remains unchanged with most online sportsbooks.
Free NCAAF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Wildcats +9.5 pts
Let me start off by saying that I believe Notre Dame will win this game. However, I think it's going to be a lot tougher than the near double digit spread that oddsmakers think the Fighting Irish will win by. If you look at Northwestern's resume, you will see some impressive performances. However, you will also see that the Wildcats play to their level of competition. For example, NW loses to Duke and Akron, but defeats Michigan State and Wisconsin.
The Wildcats almost upset the Wolverines in Evanston, as they lost 20-17 after leading for most of the game. They were able to go on the road to upset the previously #20 ranked Michigan State Spartans the very next week. But, they then only beat Nebraska and Rutgers by 3 points each, and those two teams are at the bottom of the Big 10. After that, they host the #20 ranked Wisconsin Badgers and beat them by 14.
So, I expect the Wildcats to play up to their level of competition this weekend and give the Fighting Irish all they can handle. That starts with a solid NW defense. The Wildcats allow 23.6 ppg and 366.8 total ypg. The Fighting Irish allow 341.3 total ypg and 19.1 ppg. As you can see, the Wildcats have a comparable defense to the Fighting Irish and have played 3 ranked teams in that process. Not to mention, they also beat Purdue who gave Ohio State their only loss on the season.
Last weekend NW outrushed the vaunted Wisconsin running game 182 yards to 165 yards. They will need to continue that success this weekend if they want a shot at winning the game. Notre Dame is averaging 188.5 rushing yards per game and the NW defense allows 146 rushing ypg. Furthermore, ND put up 254 rushing yards last weekend against Navy. So, the Wildcats are going to have a tough challenge on their hands this Saturday with ND running back Dexter Williams who's been coming on strong as of late. Last weekend, Williams had 142 rushing yards and 3 TDs.
In the passing game, ND has a huge advantage. And, if they can contain NW's QB Thorson from running for first downs and TD's then I believe ND will win this game handedly. As for NW, they will have to do their best to prevent ND QB Ian Book from throwing the ball all over the field. Fortunately, NW's pass defense is solid as they only allow 220.8 passing ypg.
With all of that said, I'm not confident in the Fighting Irish covering 10 points and here's why: they are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 November games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games between Weeks 10 through 13, 3-6 ATS in their last 9 grass games, and 8-9 ATS when playing teams with a winning record. Although ND is a much better team this year than the last two years, it's hard to have confidence in them covering this spread on the road against a NW team that beat Wisconsin and almost beat Michigan at home.
Furthermore, NW is 16-7 ATS following a Big 10 game, 11-5 ATS following a Big 10 win, 8-2 ATS after winning 2 games or more in a row, 10-5 ATS when playing teams with a winning record, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games during Weeks 10 through 13. NW is also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 overall games.
I don't like the ND moneyline either, despite my confidence in them winning. I believe Ian Book will be the reason ND wins this game as he outduels Clayton Thorson. However, I think that NW will score some garbage time points that cuts ND's lead to under 10 by time it's all said and done. Take NW and the points at home.
Notre Dame vs Northwestern Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Money lines: Fighting Irish (-370) and Wildcats (+310)
- Spread: Notre Dame -9.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 53.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: Notre Dame 35 – Northwestern 27
When you think of upstart, spoiler programs in the Big Ten and other major conferences, a few general characteristics come to mind. Maybe the team is very physical and super-responsible on the field like the Iowa Hawkeyes, who pistol-whipped Ohio State to drop the Buckeyes from the ranks of the unbeaten. Or maybe Mississippi State, a team without an elite passer that nevertheless moves the chains and plays tough defense.
You certainly don't think of a surprise 5-and-3 squad turning it over left and right.
But Northwestern is winning in spite of QB Clayton Thorsen's TD-to-INT ratio, which is currently at an even 10-10…an absolutely horrible number in modern football. Thorsen tossed 3 picks in last week's 31-17 triumph over Wisconsin, and he's certainly not making up for it in the ground game like Nick Fitzgerald of MSU. The slow-footed QB's running stats are a big fat negative on the season.
Notre Dame Schedule
It's not as if the Wildcats have a crushing ground game to buoy Thorsen. The team is averaging a poor 2.6 yards per carry.
So how is Northwestern winning games against quality programs? The answer is that there's no single formula. The ‘Cats are simply finding ways to scrape out victories on a weekly basis. Still, bettors are skeptical as a TD-margin on the opening point spread for Northwestern vs Notre Dame has expanded to 10 points with the action.
Who: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Northwestern Wildcats
When: Saturday, November 3rd, 7:15 PM EST
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, IL
Lines: UND (-10) at NW (+10) / O/U Total: (53.5)
Northwestern vs Notre Dame: Vegas Odds and Analysis
Saturday's underdogs allowed a mediocre Michigan State offense 400+ combined yards on the following weekend, while the Northwestern run-blocking effort hit its low point against the Spartans. Does michigan allow online gambling. Slot machine tips to win. But somehow the Wildcats won by 10 points on the road, Thorsen coming alive with 3 touchdown passes.
Northwestern put out another uneven performance last weekend against ailing Wisconsin. The Badgers rushed for over 5 yards per carry while Thorson served-up gimmes to visiting DBs. But frosh running back Isaiah Bowser, whose family apparently took its surname from the Super Mario Brothers villain, had his 2nd 100-yard game in a row as the Wildcat defense did its own number on Wisconsin QB Jack Coan and a frustrated group of Badger receivers.
The program from Chicago might be the most unpredictable handicap in college football this season. They can run the ball, except when they can't at all. They can pass, but often pass it right to the other team. Defense is hot and cold, and the special teams is led by a walk-on….who has connected on 4 out of 5 field goal attempts so far.
It's one thing to prove the experts wrong, but another to prove them right and still win anyway.
Notre Dame Football Depth Chart 2014
However, unless the Wildcats can put it all together on all 3 units this weekend, they're unlikely to challenge a #3 ranked powerhouse that may be under-valued thanks to a pair of closer-than-expected results over the last 2 weeks.
It's important for bettors to know when to stop under-estimating a top team.
Personally, I thought Michigan was going to beat UND in Week 1. It didn't happen – instead the Fighting Irish defense humiliated Jim Harbaugh's souped-up 2018 offense as seniors Jerry Tillery and Te'von Coney lived in the Wolverine backfield.
Then the Irish barely slipped past teams like Ball State and Vanderbilt for a couple weeks. Again, they were written off as an eventual loser who would fall to better competition. Instead, Notre Dame romped over Stanford and Virginia Tech. What junior QB Ian Book has taken away from the running game (coaches do not want him running as often or as aggressively as Brandon Wimbush) he adds with his passing arm. Kelly's new starter behind center has hit some roadblocks against rivals Pittsburgh and Navy over the past 2 games, but he has also thrown just 12 incompletions on around 70 attempts over the last 8 quarters. His accuracy gives the offense a new dimension.
Notre Dame Vs Northwestern History
Finally, what about those final scores against Pitt and the Navy Midshipmen? Sure, the Irish let down in the 3rd quarter against the Middies, but the 44-22 tally was deceptive. Navy was playing for pride in the 2nd half after getting blown away in the 1st half.
Notre Dame has proven this year that close results against tough, if not elite Power-5 teams (and even the occasional mid-major) is not much to worry about. The point-scoring is ready to cycle upward again.
My Prediction and Best Bet for UND at Northwestern
The point spread is too thin. Northwestern has found ways to hang around and win games, especially at home, but the Wildcats can't do it against a well-balanced and more athletic team on a hot streak.
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Expect the Irish to give their best effort and dismiss the ‘Cats by the 4th frame.
Notre-dame Vs Northwestern Odds
Take UND to cover (-10) points on Saturday night.